Kokoro Isomura vs Zhao ZhaoM15 Maanshan 7 Round of 16

M15 Maanshan 7 · ITF · Round of 16
#571ATP
1206ELO
1176Hard ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
#1853ATP
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLWLW
Isomura K.
vs
Zhao Z.

Kokoro Isomura faces Zhao Zhao in the M15 Maanshan 7 round of 16 on hard. Kokoro Isomura holds the paper edge — ranked #571. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Isomura K.87%
Zhao Z.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Isomura K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Kokoro Isomura dropped the opening set before beating Miles Jones 3–6 7–6 6–1.
  • Fatigue load: Kokoro Isomura carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.00 of last 5 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
53%
39%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
14.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Isomura K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zhao Z.

Zhao Z.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Isomura K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Isomura K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
32°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw