Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai PapoePrague Quarter-final

Prague · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#424ATP
1472ELO
1455Clay ELO
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 4th on
#300ATP
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Gombos N.
vs
Mihai Papoe R.

Norbert Gombos faces Radu Mihai Papoe in the Prague quarter-final on clay. Radu Mihai Papoe holds the paper edge — ranked #300. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Gombos N.38%
Mihai Papoe R.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mihai Papoe R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
9.09 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
71%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
68%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gombos N.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Mihai Papoe R.

Mihai Papoe R.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gombos N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
65
57

Gombos N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Mihai Papoe R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 39%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw