Mika Petkovic vs C. Giraldi — M25 Ueberlingen Round of 16

M25 Ueberlingen · ITF · Round of 16
GER4
Mika Petkovic
#435ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
WLLLWLWWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
ESP
C. Giraldi
#1591ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWLLWLL
Petkovic M.
vs
Giraldi C.

Mika Petkovic faces C. Giraldi in the M25 Ueberlingen round of 16 on clay. Mika Petkovic holds the paper edge — ranked #435. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Petkovic M.82%
Giraldi C.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Petkovic M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: C. Giraldi dropped the opening set before beating A. Barbic 4–6 6–4 6–1.
  • Last match: Mika Petkovic dropped just 5 games past T. Heger.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Petkovic M.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Giraldi C.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
Petkovic M.Giraldi C.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
49%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
54%
35%
Service points won·Clear edge
62%
44%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
41%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Petkovic M.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Giraldi C.

Giraldi C.serving49% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Petkovic M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Petkovic M.Giraldi C.
Freshness·
95
—

Petkovic M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw