Lucie Havlickova vs Xinyu Gao — W50 Prague Quarter-final

W50 Prague · ITF · Quarter-final

CZE1

Lucie Havlickova

#230WTA

1543ELO

1461Clay ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWLLLWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 13:00

clay

CHN6

Xinyu Gao

#255WTA

1504ELO

1449Clay ELO

28 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWLWWLWL

Havlickova L.

Gao X.

Lucie Havlickova faces Xinyu Gao in the W50 Prague quarter-final on clay. Lucie Havlickova is the paper favourite — ranked #230 — but Xinyu Gao has won their only previous meeting, though none on clay.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC

Havlickova L.53%

Gao X.47%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Xinyu Gao lost just 0 games in a 6–0 6–0 demolition of Mayuka Aikawa.
Last match: Lucie Havlickova dropped the opening set before beating Valeriya Strakhova 3–6 6–4 6–3.
Head-to-head: Xinyu Gao leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at W25 Roehampton 2022.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

1 common opponents · Havlickova L. 0–1 · Gao X. 1–0 · small sample

Gao X. better · different surfaces (Clay × Hard) · ⚠ lower-tier event▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Havlickova L.

4.1

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Gao X.

4.1

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.1+12 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.9Clay Elo 1449

5.5Overall Elo 1543

ELO gap

4.5Overall Elo 1504

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

3.44 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.24 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season

Havlickova L.Gao X.

1st serve in·Slight edge

58%

67%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

67%

61%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

44%

50%

Service points won·Even

57%

Return points won·Even

43%

45%

Break points saved·Slight edge

59%

52%

Aces / match·Clear edge

3.5

1.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

6.7

1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Havlickova L.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Gao X.

Gao X.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Havlickova L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

26°COvercast

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2022-08-26	W25 Roehampton	QF	hard	Xinyu Gao	6-7(3) 6-3 6-2