Jacob Fearnley vs Mackenzie Mcdonald — Quebec City Round of 32
GBRALT
USAALT
Fearnley J.
Jacob Fearnley defeated Mackenzie McDonald 6-4, 7-5 in the Round of 32 at the Quebec City tournament. Fearnley hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 67% of his first serves and converting 57% of break points. He broke McDonald's serve 4 times, compared to McDonald's 2 breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Jacob Fearnley edged Mackenzie Mcdonald in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Fearnley J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About