Josy Daems vs Chelsea Fontenel — W35 Erwitte Round of 16

W35 Erwitte · ITF · Round of 16

GER

Josy Daems

#537WTA

1297ELO

1251Clay ELO

20 yrs · Left-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWWLLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 17:30

clay

SUI

Chelsea Fontenel

#641WTA

1219ELO

1164Clay ELO

22 yrs

Last 10

WLLWLWWLWW

Daems J.

Fontenel C.

Josy Daems faces Chelsea Fontenel in the W35 Erwitte round of 16 on clay. Josy Daems holds the paper edge — ranked #537, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC

Daems J.71%

Fontenel C.29%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Daems J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Josy Daems dropped the opening set before beating F. Parcelli 3–6 6–1 7–5.
Last match: Chelsea Fontenel dropped the opening set before beating Katerina Tsygourova 6–7 6–4 6–1.
Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Daems J.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Fontenel C.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

6.1+87 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.9Clay Elo 1164

6.0Overall Elo 1297

ELO gap

4.0Overall Elo 1219

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.15 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

1.41 of last 10 on clay

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season

Daems J.Fontenel C.

1st serve in·Even

66%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

59%

62%

2nd serve points won·Even

45%

49%

Service points won·Even

54%

57%

Return points won·Even

44%

45%

Break points saved·Even

57%

55%

Aces / match·Even

1.3

1.7

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.2

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Daems J.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Fontenel C.

Fontenel C.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Daems J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

24°CMainly clear

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.