Anton Matusevich vs M. Ceban — Roehampton Quarter-final

Roehampton · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

GBR

Anton Matusevich

#357ATP

25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWLWWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 15:30

hard

GBR

M. Ceban

#2097ATP

17 yrs

Last 10

WWLWWLWLWL

Matusevich A.

Ceban M.

Anton Matusevich faces M. Ceban in the Roehampton quarter-final on hard. Anton Matusevich holds the paper edge — ranked #357.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC

Matusevich A.88%

Ceban M.12%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Matusevich A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Anton Matusevich dropped just 4 games past Elmer Moller.
Surface form: Anton Matusevich 5 of 6, M. Ceban 4 of 6 on hard recently — Anton Matusevich the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Matusevich A.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Ceban M.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

5.04 of last 9 on hard

Surface form

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season

Matusevich A.Ceban M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

62%

69%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

73%

58%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

56%

Service points won·Slight edge

65%

58%

Return points won·Clear edge

36%

20%

Break points saved·Dominant

67%

Aces / match·Dominant

5.6

2.0

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.1

1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Matusevich A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Ceban M.

Ceban M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Matusevich A.

Serve advantage — Matusevich A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Matusevich A.Ceban M.

Freshness·Slight edge

Matusevich A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Ceban M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

21°CClear

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.