Luca Castagnola vs Stefan Popovic — M25 Slovenj Gradec Round of 16
Castagnola L.
Luca Castagnola defeated Stefan Popovic in the Round of 16 at the M25 Slovenj Gradec tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 7-5 in favor of Castagnola. Both players recorded 5 service breaks, converted 38% of break points, and had similar first-serve win percentages, with Castagnola serving 4 aces to Popovic's 1 and making 14 double faults to Popovic's 0.
Key context
- Match story: Luca Castagnola closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Popovic S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.