Dominic Stricker vs Mika BrunoldSion Quarter-final

Sion · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#336ATP
1533ELO
1474Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 1st on
#423ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWWLL
Stricker D.
vs
Brunold M.

Dominic Stricker faces Mika Brunold in the Sion quarter-final on clay. Dominic Stricker holds the paper edge — ranked #336, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Stricker D.70%
Brunold M.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stricker D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Mika Brunold carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Dominic Stricker 7 of 10, Mika Brunold 6 of 10 on clay recently — Dominic Stricker the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+68 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1407
5.8Overall Elo 1533
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1466
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
66%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Stricker D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Brunold M.

Brunold M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Stricker D.

Serve advantage — Stricker D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
35
24
Break points saved·Even
68
72
Break points won·Clear edge
1
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
3
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
87

Stricker D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Brunold M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CThunderstorm
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw