Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima — Cincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 16

POR

Nuno Borges

#47ATP

1769ELO

1714Hard ELO

$811kYTD

$5.3MCAREER

29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWWLWL

Sets

Live

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 18:35

hard

Court 3 · 4th on

USA27

Brandon Nakashima

#22ATP

1839ELO

1788Hard ELO

$990kYTD

$7.9MCAREER

25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWWWLW

Borges N.

3-6 4-3

Nakashima B.

Serve vs return

This season

Borges N.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Borges N.Nakashima B.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Nuno Borges 144 games in 14 days, Brandon Nakashima 182.
Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Brandon Nakashima grades 63 on serve, Nuno Borges 28 on return.
Last match: Brandon Nakashima dropped the opening set before beating Daniil Medvedev 6–7 7–6 6–1.

Clutch

Under pressure

Borges N.Nakashima B.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Even

Break points won·Clear edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

26°COvercast

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 77%

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Borges N.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Nakashima B.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

4.1Hard Elo 1714

Surface ELO

5.9+74 Hard Elo edge

4.1Overall Elo 1769

ELO gap

5.9Overall Elo 1839

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.67 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

8.18 of last 10 on hard

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Statistics

This season

Borges N.Nakashima B.

1st serve in·Even

66%

68%

1st serve points won·Even

74%

78%

2nd serve points won·Even

50%

51%

Service points won·Even

66%

69%

Return points won·Even

35%

34%

Break points saved·Slight edge

64%

58%

Aces / match·Dominant

6.4

10.7

Double faults / match·Clear edge

1.9

0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load

Borges N.Nakashima B.

Freshness·Slight edge

Borges N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Nuno Borges faces Brandon Nakashima in the Cincinnati round of 16 on hard. Brandon Nakashima is the paper favourite — ranked #22, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Nuno Borges rides a 3-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Around the match

“I played amazing. It means a lot to be in the fourth round. It's a big moment for me.”
Borges N.Inquirer.net ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima — Cincinnati Round of 16

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Key context

Clutch

Conditions

Umpiry Score

Statistics

Freshness

Around the match

Head to head

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard