Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan WawrinkaCancun 2 Round of 32

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#114ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$304kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
ESTADIO FUNO · 2nd on
#125ATP
1678ELO
1664Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
Svrcina D.
6-7 6-7
Wawrinka S.
Svrcina D.
66630
Wawrinka S.
78772

Stan Wawrinka defeated Dalibor Svrcina in the Round of 32 of the Cancun 2 tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Both players hit 3 aces, but Wawrinka limited his double faults to 4 while Svrcina committed 6. Wawrinka and Svrcina each converted 1 service break, with Wawrinka winning 74% of his first-serve points to Svrcina's 69%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
33%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
8.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
53
Break points saved·Dominant
44
97
Break points won·Dominant
90
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
62
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Svrcina D.72%
Wawrinka S.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svrcina D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1624
Surface ELO
5.5+40 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1678
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
83

Svrcina D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 57 games (7d) · Wawrinka S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw