Marlon Vankan vs Amaury RaynelM15 Lambermont Round of 32

M15 Lambermont · ITF · Round of 32
#611ATP
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#900ATP
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLLLLW
Vankan M.
vs
Raynel A.

Marlon Vankan faces Amaury Raynel in the M15 Lambermont round of 32 on clay. Marlon Vankan holds the paper edge — ranked #611, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Vankan M.70%
Raynel A.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vankan M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Marlon Vankan 6 of 10, Amaury Raynel 3 of 10 on clay recently — Marlon Vankan the sharper of late.
  • Head-to-head: Marlon Vankan leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Wels 1 2025.
  • Fatigue load: Marlon Vankan carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.12 of last 7 on clay
Surface form
4.03 of last 8 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
52%
40%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Clear edge
48%
34%
Break points saved·Dominant
60%
22%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vankan M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Raynel A.

Raynel A.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Vankan M.

Serve advantage — Vankan M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°CDrizzle
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 84%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-01M15 Wels 1QFclayMarlon Vankan6-3 7-6(5)

Draw