Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry — Cincinnati Round of 16

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 16
Iga Swiatek
POL7
Iga Swiatek
#5WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 1st on
Diane Parry
FRA
Diane Parry
#66WTA
1747ELO
1653Hard ELO
$515kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWLWL
Swiatek I.
6-3 6-3
Parry D.
Swiatek I.
662
Parry D.
330

Iga Swiatek advanced to the quarterfinals of the Cincinnati tournament with a 6-3, 6-3 victory over Diane Parry in the Round of 16. Swiatek hit two aces and one double fault, while Parry had one ace and four double faults. Swiatek converted 50% of her break points and won 71% of her first-serve points, securing five service breaks to Parry's two.

Around the match

  • Defending champion Swiatek recovered from losing the first set to dominate Sakkari 4-6, 6-1, 6-1.

    Swiatek I.sports.yahoo.com ↗

  • Defending champion Swiatek extended her winning streak to eight consecutive matches with a comeback victory over Sakkari.

    Swiatek I.Sportsnet.ca ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR32clayIga Swiatek6-1 6-1

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Parry D.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Parry D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
97
41
Break points saved·Dominant
87
45
Break points won·Dominant
100
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Swiatek I.89%
Parry D.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Parry D.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+369 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1653
9.0Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1747
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Parry D.
Freshness·Even
63
67

Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Parry D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw