Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Tomas Barrios VeraCancun 2 Round of 32

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#292ATP
1527ELO
1487Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
ESTADIO FUNO · 2nd on
#147ATP
1615ELO
1552Hard ELO
$207kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWWLLL
Pacheco Mendez R.
vs
Barrios Vera T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Pacheco Mendez R.55%
Barrios Vera T.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1487
Surface ELO
5.8+65 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1615
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Pacheco Mendez R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Barrios Vera T.

Barrios Vera T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pacheco Mendez R.

Serve advantage — Pacheco Mendez R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
13
16
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
72
Break points won·Slight edge
3
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
21
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Pacheco Mendez R.: 16 days rest · Barrios Vera T.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
32°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw