Andrea Paolini vs Anas Mazdrashki — M15 Arad Round of 32

M15 Arad · ITF · Round of 32
ITAQ
Andrea Paolini
#1674ATP
23 yrs
Last 10
WLWWWLLWLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
BUL5
Anas Mazdrashki
#857ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
LWLLWWLLWL
Paolini A.
vs
Mazdrashki A.

Andrea Paolini faces Anas Mazdrashki in the M15 Arad round of 32 on clay. Anas Mazdrashki is the paper favourite — ranked #857 — but Andrea Paolini arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on clay to Anas Mazdrashki's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Paolini A.55%
Mazdrashki A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mazdrashki A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.82 of last 5 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

2 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
Paolini A.Mazdrashki A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
53%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
54%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Clear edge
31%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Mazdrashki A.

Mazdrashki A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw