Joao Victor Couto Loureiro vs D. Tremblay — M15 Bastad Round of 32

M15 Bastad · ITF · Round of 32
BRA6
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
#865ATP
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
FRAQ
D. Tremblay
#1711ATP
24 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWLLLWL
Couto Loureiro J.
vs
Tremblay D.

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro faces D. Tremblay in the M15 Bastad round of 32 on clay. Joao Victor Couto Loureiro holds the paper edge — ranked #865. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Couto Loureiro J.33%
Tremblay D.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tremblay D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Form trend: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while D. Tremblay's has cooled.
  • Last match: D. Tremblay dropped just 5 games past Filip Christoffersson.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Couto Loureiro J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Tremblay D.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

6 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
Couto Loureiro J.Tremblay D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Couto Loureiro J.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Tremblay D.

Tremblay D.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Couto Loureiro J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Couto Loureiro J.Tremblay D.
Freshness·
100
—

Couto Loureiro J.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 92%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw