Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar Vukic — Quebec City Round of 32
FRAALT
AUS5
Jacquet K.
Kyrian Jacquet faces Aleksandar Vukic in the Quebec City round of 32 on hard. Aleksandar Vukic is the paper favourite — ranked #99 — but Kyrian Jacquet arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on hard to Aleksandar Vukic's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jacquet K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Kyrian Jacquet has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 47 vs 27).
- Surface form: Kyrian Jacquet 3 of 5, Aleksandar Vukic 2 of 5 on hard recently — Kyrian Jacquet the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Aleksandar Vukic carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJacquet K.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Vukic A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.