Alan Magadan vs A. HernandezCancun 2 Round of 32

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#561ATP
1274ELO
1275Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWLWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 20 August 2026 ·
hard
ESTADIO FUNO · 3rd on
21 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLLLLLL
Magadan A.
vs
Hernandez A.

Alan Magadan faces A. Hernandez in the Cancun 2 round of 32 on hard. A. Hernandez is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Alan Magadan arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to A. Hernandez's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Magadan A.75%
Hernandez A.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Magadan A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.74 of last 8 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
53%
1st serve points won·
69%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
39%
Break points saved·
57%
Aces / match·
4.5
Double faults / match·
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
100

Magadan A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Hernandez A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
34°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 28%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-27Los CabosFhardA. Hernandez6-3 7-6(6)

Draw