Ariana Geerlings vs Lucie Petruzelova

W35 Krakow · ITF · Round of 16

ESP

Ariana Geerlings

#910WTA

1466ELO

1428Clay ELO

20 yrs

Last 10

WWWWWWWWWW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 19 August 2026 · 14:30

clay

CZE

Lucie Petruzelova

#583WTA

23 yrs

Last 10

WWLWWWLWWW

Geerlings A.

Petruzelova L.

Ariana Geerlings faces Lucie Petruzelova in the W35 Krakow round of 16 on clay. Lucie Petruzelova is the paper favourite — ranked #583 — but Ariana Geerlings arrives in form, winning all 10 of their last clay matches to Lucie Petruzelova's 8.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC

Geerlings A.71%

Petruzelova L.29%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Geerlings A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Ariana Geerlings dropped just 5 games past Miriana Tona.
Last match: Lucie Petruzelova dropped just 3 games past C. E. Tiglea.
Fatigue load: Lucie Petruzelova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Geerlings A.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Petruzelova L.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.88 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.96 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

9.05-match win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 matches

Statistics

This season

Geerlings A.Petruzelova L.

1st serve in·

—

61%

1st serve points won·

—

59%

2nd serve points won·

—

45%

Service points won·

—

54%

Return points won·

—

48%

Break points saved·

—

52%

Aces / match·

—

1.0

Double faults / match·

—

3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast

24°CMainly clear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Ariana Geerlings vs Lucie Petruzelova — W35 Krakow Round of 16