Cezar Cretu vs Maxim MrvaPrague Round of 16

Prague · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#266ATP
1524ELO
1492Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#309ATP
1500ELO
1447Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Cretu C.
1-6 2-6
Mrva M.
Cretu C.
120
Mrva M.
662

Maxim Mrva defeated Cezar Cretu 6-1, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Prague tournament on clay. Mrva hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 76% of his first serves and converting 67% of break points. He converted four service breaks to Cretu's none, en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Cretu C.63%
Mrva M.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cretu C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+45 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1447
5.3Overall Elo 1524
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1500
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
55

Cretu C.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Mrva M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw