Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Sergi Perez ContriM25 Santander Round of 16

M25 Santander · ITF · Round of 16
#1359ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
WLWWLLLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#471ATP
28 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWWWW
Munk Mesa B.
vs
Perez Contri S.

Bernardo Munk Mesa faces Sergi Perez Contri in the M25 Santander round of 16 on clay. Sergi Perez Contri holds the paper edge — ranked #471, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Munk Mesa B.25%
Perez Contri S.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Perez Contri S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

4 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Munk Mesa B.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Perez Contri S.

Perez Contri S.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Munk Mesa B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24M25 BakioR16hardSergi Perez Contri6-3 3-6 6-3

Draw