Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobolli — Cincinnati Round of 16
ESP12
ITA7
Jodar R.
Flavio Cobolli defeated Rafael Jodar in the Round of 16 at the Cincinnati tournament. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Cobolli. Both players hit 8 and 7 aces respectively, and committed 3 double faults each; Cobolli converted 50% of break points, while Jodar converted 38%.
Around the match
“You have to win with what you have. I think that's very important. I've given everything in my training sessions when I'm back at home.”
Jodar R.Cincinnati Open ↗“There's still a long way to go this season, but I'm happy how these months are going for me. I'm also eager to improve my game.”
Jodar R.Cincinnati Open ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Flavio Cobolli dropped the opening set before beating Rafael Jodar 4–6 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Jodar R. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadJodar R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About