Lisa Claeys vs Demi TranW15 Wanfercee-Baulet Round of 32

W15 Wanfercee-Baulet · ITF · Round of 32
#860WTA
23 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWWWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#695WTA
1146ELO
1106Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLLLW
Claeys L.
vs
Tran D.

Lisa Claeys faces Demi Tran in the W15 Wanfercee-Baulet round of 32 on clay. Demi Tran is the paper favourite — ranked #695 — but Lisa Claeys arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Demi Tran's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Claeys L.67%
Tran D.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Claeys L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Lisa Claeys 4 of 6, Demi Tran 2 of 6 on clay recently — Lisa Claeys the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
39%
38%
Service points won·Even
52%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
46%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.2
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Claeys L.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Tran D.

Tran D.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Claeys L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CRain
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 98%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw