Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegula — Cincinnati Round of 16
ROU15
USA3
Cirstea S.
Jessica Pegula defeated Sorana Cirstea in the Round of 16 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 4-6, 7-5 in favor of Pegula. Key stats included Pegula's 4 aces and 2 double faults compared to Cirstea's 1 ace and 4 double faults; Pegula converted 50% of her break points and Cirstea converted 45%.
Around the match
“Her serve is just so good. Even when she's not necessarily having a good serving day, it's still probably better than most. It's really tough to play someone who's serving that well.”
Pegula J.Cincinnati Open ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–5.
Head to head
1–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R64 | clay | Jessica Pegula | 7-6 6-3 |
| 2015-02-02 | Midland MI $100K | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2011-02-07 | Midland MI 100K | R32 | hard | Sorana Cirstea | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Pegula J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadCirstea S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About