Sebastian Gima vs Giovanni Ciocca — M15 Arad Round of 32

M15 Arad · ITF · Round of 32
ROU1
Sebastian Gima
#543ATP
1179ELO
1183Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLWLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
ITAQ
Giovanni Ciocca
#1896ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWWLLLW
Gima S.
vs
Ciocca G.

Sebastian Gima faces Giovanni Ciocca in the M15 Arad round of 32 on clay. Sebastian Gima is the paper favourite — ranked #543 — but Giovanni Ciocca arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on clay to Sebastian Gima's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Gima S.76%
Ciocca G.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gima S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Sebastian Gima 2 of 7, Giovanni Ciocca 4 of 7 on clay recently — Giovanni Ciocca the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Giovanni Ciocca carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gima S.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Ciocca G.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
Gima S.Ciocca G.
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Dominant
67%
39%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
44%
Service points won·Clear edge
62%
41%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
32%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
41%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gima S.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ciocca G.

Ciocca G.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Gima S.

Serve advantage — Gima S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw