Kasidit Samrej vs Hyeon Chung — M25 Taipei Round of 32

M25 Taipei · ITF · Round of 32

THA4

Kasidit Samrej

#412ATP

1285ELO

1260Hard ELO

25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLLWLWLWW

—

Sets

Wednesday, 19 August 2026 · 10:00

hard

KOR

Hyeon Chung

#583ATP

1488ELO

1459Hard ELO

30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWWLWLWWL

Samrej K.

Chung H.

Kasidit Samrej faces Hyeon Chung in the M25 Taipei round of 32 on hard. Kasidit Samrej holds the paper edge — ranked #412. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC

Samrej K.13%

Chung H.87%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Chung H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Kasidit Samrej 45 games in 14 days, Hyeon Chung 22.
Surface form: Both 5 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Samrej K.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Chung H.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.5Hard Elo 1260

Surface ELO

7.5+199 Hard Elo edge

2.5Overall Elo 1285

ELO gap

7.5Overall Elo 1488

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.95 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.95 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

13 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season

Samrej K.Chung H.

1st serve in·Slight edge

65%

56%

1st serve points won·Even

71%

67%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

45%

Service points won·Slight edge

63%

57%

Return points won·Slight edge

39%

44%

Break points saved·Even

59%

58%

Aces / match·Dominant

6.1

2.3

Double faults / match·Slight edge

4.7

5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Samrej K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Chung H.

Chung H.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Samrej K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Samrej K.Chung H.

Freshness·Slight edge

Samrej K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Chung H.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

29°CDrizzle

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 78%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.