Mika Brunold vs Calvin HemerySion Round of 16

Sion · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#423ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#326ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLLL
Brunold M.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Hemery C.
Brunold M.
6362
Hemery C.
3631

Mika Brunold defeated Calvin Hemery in the Round of 16 at the Sion tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 3-6, 6-3. Brunold and Hemery recorded no aces and two aces, respectively, while also committing five and seven double faults. Brunold secured five service breaks to Hemery's four en route to the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Mika Brunold closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
5.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
13
Break points saved·Dominant
72
35
Break points won·Even
15
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
31
Tiebreaks·Even
92
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Brunold M.61%
Hemery C.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Brunold M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1407
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1466
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1439
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
78

Brunold M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Hemery C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw