Mika Brunold vs Calvin HemerySion Round of 16

Sion · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#423ATP
1466ELO
1407Clay ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWLLL
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#326ATP
1439ELO
1449Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWWLLL
Brunold M.
vs
Hemery C.

Mika Brunold faces Calvin Hemery in the Sion round of 16 on clay. Calvin Hemery holds the paper edge — ranked #326, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Brunold M.61%
Hemery C.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Brunold M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Calvin Hemery carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1407
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1466
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1439
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
5.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brunold M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Hemery C.

Hemery C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Brunold M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
13
Break points saved·Dominant
72
35
Break points won·Even
15
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
31
Tiebreaks·Even
92
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
78

Brunold M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Hemery C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 28%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw