Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovic — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
Marie Bouzkova
CZE22
Marie Bouzkova
#27WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$7.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
Iva Jovic
USA13
Iva Jovic
#16WTA
1906ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.8MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWLW
Bouzkova M.
7-6 7-6
Jovic I.
Bouzkova M.
77772
Jovic I.
60650

Marie Bouzkova defeated Iva Jovic in the Round of 32 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6. Bouzkova served two aces to Jovic's one and committed five double faults to Jovic's one. Both players converted the same number of service breaks, five, but Bouzkova won 65% of her first serves to Jovic's 54%.

Around the match

  • “When I'm at a tournament, I'm trying to focus, I don't try to think about those things, but sometimes randomly you wake up and you're like, 'Wow, this is pretty cool that this is my life'.”

    Jovic I.Cincinnati Open ↗

  • “I think a big part of it is the problem solving and the clearheadedness. In some of those moments where you're playing a big match against someone who has experience, they are able to problem solve and make adjustments a little bit better.”

    Jovic I.Cincinnati Open ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bouzkova M.Jovic I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bouzkova M.Jovic I.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
46
91
Break points saved·Dominant
47
95
Break points won·Even
95
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
92
Tiebreaks·
39
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Bouzkova M.35%
Jovic I.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jovic I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bouzkova M.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Jovic I.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1798
Surface ELO
5.6+49 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1906
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.8Won 80% in Usa (64)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bouzkova M.Jovic I.
Freshness·Even
72
71

Bouzkova M.: played today · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Jovic I.: played today · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw