Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin BoulaisQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#100ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
#398ATP
1352ELO
1326Hard ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
Bonzi B.
7-6 6-3
Boulais J.
Bonzi B.
7762
Boulais J.
6430

Benjamin Bonzi defeated Justin Boulais in the Round of 32 of the Quebec City tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Bonzi served 3 aces and committed 6 double faults, while converting 50% of his break points and winning 68% of his first-serve points. Boulais had 1 ace and 4 double faults, converting 25% of his break points and winning 73% of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
5
Break points saved·Dominant
94
50
Break points won·Clear edge
17
5
Deciding sets·Slight edge
6
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Bonzi B.71%
Boulais J.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bonzi B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.8+387 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.2Hard Elo 1326
10.0Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1352
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
83

Bonzi B.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Boulais J.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw