Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Ugo BlanchetQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#157ATP
1631ELO
1566Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT CROMWELL · 2nd on
#192ATP
1521ELO
1546Hard ELO
$119kYTD
$989kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWLLW
Sakellaridis S.
6-4 3-6 6-2
Blanchet U.
Sakellaridis S.
6362
Blanchet U.
4621

Stefanos Sakellaridis defeated Ugo Blanchet in the Round of 32 of the Quebec City tournament, prevailing 6-4, 3-6, 6-2. Sakellaridis hit 18 aces to Blanchet's 4 and converted 33% of his break points, compared to Blanchet's 25%. Sakellaridis won 78% of his first-serve points to Blanchet's 67%, and he broke Blanchet's serve four times to Blanchet's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
34
Break points saved·Dominant
63
89
Break points won·Slight edge
9
15
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Sakellaridis S.59%
Blanchet U.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sakellaridis S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+20 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1546
6.4Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1521
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
56
52

Sakellaridis S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d) · Blanchet U.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 105 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw