Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harris — Cancun 2 Round of 32

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

USA

Darwin Blanch

#224ATP

1551ELO

1483Hard ELO

18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

LLLLLLWWLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 02:05

hard

CANCHA 1 KATAN · 3rd on

RSAQ

Lloyd Harris

#175ATP

1665ELO

1640Hard ELO

$130kYTD

$4.7MCAREER

29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWWLWL

Blanch D.

Harris L.

Darwin Blanch faces Lloyd Harris in the Cancun 2 round of 32 on hard. Lloyd Harris holds the paper edge — ranked #175, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC

Blanch D.36%

Harris L.64%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Harris L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Darwin Blanch comes in with 7 days of rest and 22 games in 14d, vs Lloyd Harris's 0 and 190.
Surface form: Darwin Blanch 0 of 5, Lloyd Harris 5 of 5 on hard recently — Lloyd Harris the sharper of late.
Win streak: Lloyd Harris arrives on a 7-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Blanch D.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Harris L.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

3.0Hard Elo 1483

Surface ELO

7.0+157 Hard Elo edge

3.6Overall Elo 1551

ELO gap

6.4Overall Elo 1665

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

1.52 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

8.78 of last 10 on hard

0.0Lost last 6

Win streak

9.07-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season

Blanch D.Harris L.

1st serve in·Slight edge

58%

67%

1st serve points won·Even

74%

73%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

51%

Service points won·Even

64%

66%

Return points won·Even

40%

38%

Break points saved·Slight edge

60%

69%

Aces / match·Clear edge

5.9

7.7

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.4

1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Blanch D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Harris L.

Harris L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Blanch D.Harris L.

Freshness·Dominant

Blanch D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Harris L.: played today · 7 matches, 165 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

34°COvercast

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 28%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.