Darya Astakhova vs Lea NilssonW75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Round of 32

W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 · ITF · Round of 32
#231WTA
1511ELO
1505Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#375WTA
18 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLL
Astakhova D.
6-3 6-1
Nilsson L.
Astakhova D.
662
Nilsson L.
310

Darya Astakhova defeated Lea Nilsson 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 clay court tournament. Astakhova did not hit an ace and did not commit a double fault, while Nilsson had one ace and two double faults. Astakhova won 74 percent of her first serves and converted 50 percent of her break points, compared to Nilsson's 50 percent first-serve win percentage and 33 percent break-point conversion rate; Astakhova had five service breaks to Nilsson's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
50%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Astakhova D.73%
Nilsson L.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Astakhova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw