R. Antoni vs Daniele Minighini — M15 Krakow Round of 32

M15 Krakow · ITF · Round of 32
GER
R. Antoni
#1380ATP
56 yrs
Last 10
LLLLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA
Daniele Minighini
#2011ATP
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLLWLW
Antoni R.
vs
Minighini D.

R. Antoni faces Daniele Minighini in the M15 Krakow round of 32 on clay. R. Antoni is the paper favourite — ranked #1380 — but Daniele Minighini arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on clay to R. Antoni's 1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Antoni R.41%
Minighini D.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Minighini D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Daniele Minighini dropped just 5 games past Mikolaj Borkowski.
  • Surface form: R. Antoni 1 of 5, Daniele Minighini 4 of 5 on clay recently — Daniele Minighini the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Antoni R.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Minighini D.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 matches

Statistics

This season
Antoni R.Minighini D.
1st serve in·
—
51%
1st serve points won·
—
54%
2nd serve points won·
—
22%
Service points won·
—
38%
Return points won·
—
29%
Break points saved·
—
25%
Aces / match·
—
0.0
Double faults / match·
—
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Antoni R.Minighini D.
Freshness·
98
—

Antoni R.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw