Sebastian Sorger vs Simone Agostini — M25 Slovenj Gradec Round of 32
M25 Slovenj Gradec · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
Sorger S.vs
Agostini S.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTCSorger S.90%
Agostini S.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Sorger S. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.41 of last 10 on clay
Surface form0.00 of last 8 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
18 vs 1 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
52%
29%
Service points won·Clear edge
57%
42%
Return points won·Clear edge
41%
26%
Break points saved·Dominant
56%
29%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
98
—
Sorger S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 43%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.