Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Tristan SchoolkateQuebec City Q8

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q8
#157ATP
1631ELO
1566Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$341kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT CROMWELL · 2nd on
#188ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLLWLW
Sakellaridis S.
6-4 3-6 7-5
Schoolkate T.
Sakellaridis S.
6372
Schoolkate T.
4651

Stefanos Sakellaridis defeated Tristan Schoolkate 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 in the Quebec City qualifying eighth-final. Sakellaridis hit 14 aces and converted 75 percent of his break points, while Schoolkate had 10 aces and converted 25 percent of his break points. Sakellaridis won three service breaks to Schoolkate's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Even
6.8
7.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
46
46
Break points saved·Dominant
63
90
Break points won·Slight edge
9
0
Deciding sets·Even
83
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
76
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Sakellaridis S.50%
Schoolkate T.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1514
6.0Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
56
48

Sakellaridis S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d) · Schoolkate T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 136 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw