Aryna Sabalenka vs Xin Yu Wang — Cincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
P&G STADIUM COURT · 4th on
CHN
Xin Yu Wang
#89WTA
1760ELO
1716Hard ELO
24 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-1 6-3
Yu Wang X.
Sabalenka A.
662
Yu Wang X.
130

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Xin Yu Wang in the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Sabalenka won the match in straight sets, 6-1, 6-3.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardAryna Sabalenka1-6 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Yu Wang X.
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Yu Wang X.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
35
Break points saved·Dominant
93
25
Break points won·Dominant
99
74
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
70
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Sabalenka A.94%
Yu Wang X.6%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sabalenka A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Yu Wang X.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+485 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1716
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1760
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.69 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Yu Wang X.
Freshness·Clear edge
70
82

Sabalenka A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Yu Wang X.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw