Jurij Rodionov vs Rei SakamotoQuebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#134ATP
1636ELO
1584Hard ELO
$206kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT CROMWELL · 3rd on
#165ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$235kYTD
$494kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
Rodionov J.
1-6 4-6
Sakamoto R.
Rodionov J.
140
Sakamoto R.
662

Rei Sakamoto defeated Jurij Rodionov in the Round of 32 at the Quebec City tournament, winning 6-1, 6-4 on hard courts. Sakamoto and Rodionov were even in aces, 3-3, but Sakamoto outdid Rodionov in first-serve win percentage, 74-68, and break points converted, 27-0. Sakamoto converted three service breaks to Rodionov's none, and also had fewer double faults, 2-5.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
6
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
87
Break points won·Slight edge
2
8
Deciding sets·Dominant
23
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
11
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Rodionov J.45%
Sakamoto R.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1584
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1608
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
65

Rodionov J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Sakamoto R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw