Oren Vasser vs Christopher Norlin — M15 Bastad Q16
M15 Bastad · ITF · Q16
—
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
SWEChristopher Norlin
22 yrs
Last 10
WLLWW
Vasser O.vs
Norlin C.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCVasser O.55%
Norlin C.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedNorlin C.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streakFatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
20 vs 3 matches
Statistics
Recent formVasser O.Norlin C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
50%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
43%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
Recent formNorlin C.serving57% hold
wins 53% of points on serve vs Vasser O.
Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 64%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.