Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula — Cincinnati Round of 32
USA25
USA3
Navarro E.Jessica Pegula defeated Emma Navarro 7-5, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati tournament. Pegula had 4 aces and 3 double faults, while Navarro had 8 aces and 5 double faults. Pegula converted 36% of her break points and won 69% of her first serves, compared to Navarro's 22% break point conversion and 63% first-serve win percentage.
Around the match
“It was a tough match. I never played her before. I didn't know what to expect. It's been a good turnaround for me, and always nice to get the first one here.”
Pegula J.WTA Tennis ↗“Not returning well in Canada, so I was prioritizing return of serve in practice.”
Pegula J.WTA Tennis ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
0–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Beijing | QF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-7 6-2 6-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Bad Homburg | QF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 1-6 6-3 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 7-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Pegula J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadNavarro E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About