Matias Soto vs Rudolf Molleker — Prague Round of 32

Prague · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CHI6
Matias Soto
#262ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 1st on
Rudolf Molleker
GERQ
Rudolf Molleker
#481ATP
1387ELO
1382Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLLL
Soto M.
3-6 3-6
Molleker R.
Soto M.
330
Molleker R.
662

Rudolf Molleker defeated Matias Soto 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Prague tournament on clay. Molleker hit 6 aces and 3 double faults, winning 67% of his first serves and converting 67% of his break points. Molleker converted 6 service breaks to Soto's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Soto M.Molleker R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
6.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Soto M.Molleker R.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
10
Break points saved·Clear edge
51
69
Break points won·Even
14
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
69
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
24

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Soto M.51%
Molleker R.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Soto M.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Molleker R.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1382
5.4Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Soto M.Molleker R.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
69

Soto M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Molleker R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw