Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto MiguelKingston Round of 32

Kingston · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#78ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#850ATP
1322ELO
1267Hard ELO
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Royer V.
6-1 6-7 6-2
Guto Miguel L.
Royer V.
66362
Guto Miguel L.
17721

Valentin Royer defeated Luis Guto Miguel in the Round of 32 at the Kingston hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-1, 6-7, 6-2 in favor of Royer. Royer's win advanced him past Miguel in the competition.

Key context

  • Match story: Valentin Royer came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Royer V.82%
Guto Miguel L.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Royer V. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
9.0+318 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1267
9.0Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1322
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.83 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
78

Royer V.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Guto Miguel L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw