Miriana Tona vs Ariana Geerlings — W35 Krakow Round of 32
W35 Krakow · ITF · Round of 32
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
Tona M.4-6 1-6
Geerlings A.
Tona M.
410
Geerlings A.
662
Ariana Geerlings defeated Miriana Tona in the Round of 32 at the W35 Krakow tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-1 in favor of Geerlings.
Key context
- Match story: Ariana Geerlings dropped just 5 games past Miriana Tona.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
66%
—
1st serve points won·
60%
—
2nd serve points won·
46%
—
Service points won·
55%
—
Return points won·
45%
—
Break points saved·
53%
—
Aces / match·
1.3
—
Double faults / match·
2.4
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCTona M.45%
Geerlings A.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1251
Surface ELO7.2+177 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1275
ELO gap7.4Overall Elo 1466
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form7.88 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 60%