Saritas vs Khotchenkov — M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Q16

M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 · ITF · Q16

TUR

Gokberk Saritas

#2308ATP

23 yrs

Last 10

WLLLLWLLLL

—

Sets

Tuesday, 18 August 2026 · 12:00

clay

RUS

Egor Khotchenkov

23 yrs

Last 10

WWLWLLWLWL

Saritas G.

Khotchenkov E.

Gokberk Saritas faces Egor Khotchenkov in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 q16 on clay. Egor Khotchenkov holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Saritas G.74%

Khotchenkov E.26%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Saritas G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Gokberk Saritas dropped just 6 games past Radoslav Shandarov.
Head-to-head: Egor Khotchenkov leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Antalya 15 2022.
Surface form: Gokberk Saritas 2 of 5, Egor Khotchenkov 3 of 5 on clay recently — Egor Khotchenkov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Saritas G.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Khotchenkov E.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 20 matches

Statistics

Recent form

Saritas G.Khotchenkov E.

1st serve in·Even

61%

64%

1st serve points won·Even

54%

56%

2nd serve points won·Even

43%

40%

Service points won·Even

50%

Return points won·Slight edge

33%

40%

Break points saved·Even

51%

52%

Aces / match·Even

1.2

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.6

5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

Recent form

Saritas G.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Khotchenkov E.

Khotchenkov E.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Saritas G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

26°CPartly cloudy

Wind 21 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2022-05-16	M15 Antalya 15	Q32	clay	Egor Khotchenkov	4-6 6-0 10-4

Gokberk Saritas vs Egor Khotchenkov — M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Q16