P. Jozwicki vs Gabriele Maria Noce — M15 Mistelbach Round of 32

M15 Mistelbach · ITF · Round of 32
AUTWC
P. Jozwicki
#2284ATP
21 yrs
Last 10
LWWLLLWLLW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA6
Gabriele Maria Noce
#826ATP
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWWLLW
Jozwicki P.
vs
Maria Noce G.

P. Jozwicki faces Gabriele Maria Noce in the M15 Mistelbach round of 32 on clay. Gabriele Maria Noce holds the paper edge — ranked #826. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Jozwicki P.34%
Maria Noce G.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Maria Noce G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Gabriele Maria Noce carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jozwicki P.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Maria Noce G.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.91 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
Jozwicki P.Maria Noce G.
1st serve in·Clear edge
89%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jozwicki P.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Maria Noce G.

Maria Noce G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jozwicki P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Jozwicki P.Maria Noce G.
Freshness·
—
94

Maria Noce G.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw