Jesper De Jong vs Dane Sweeny — Quebec City Round of 32

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Jesper De Jong
NED8
Jesper De Jong
#106ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT CROMWELL · 4th on
AUSALT
Dane Sweeny
#124ATP
1460ELO
1444Hard ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWL
De Jong J.
7-5 6-0
Sweeny D.
De Jong J.
762
Sweeny D.
500

Jesper De Jong defeated Dane Sweeny in the Round of 32 of the Quebec City tournament, winning 7-5, 6-0 on hard courts. De Jong hit 9 aces to Sweeny's 2 and converted 83% of his break points, compared to Sweeny's 25%. De Jong won 5 service breaks to Sweeny's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
De Jong J.Sweeny D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.8
3.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Jong J.Sweeny D.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
45
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
69
Break points won·Slight edge
19
11
Deciding sets·Slight edge
61
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
De Jong J.57%
Sweeny D.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Jong J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Sweeny D.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+163 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1444
8.1Overall Elo 1711
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1460
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.43 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Jong J.Sweeny D.
Freshness·Even
82
81

De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Sweeny D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw