Lloyd Harris vs Abedallah ShelbayhCancun 2 Q16

Cancun 2 · CHALLENGER · Q16
#175ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
#253ATP
1442ELO
1448Hard ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Harris L.
6-3 6-2
Shelbayh A.
Harris L.
662
Shelbayh A.
320

Lloyd Harris defeated Abedallah Shelbayh 6-3, 6-2 in the Cancun 2 quarterfinals. Harris served 7 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Shelbayh converted none of his two break point chances. Harris converted all three of his break point opportunities and won 82% of his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
46
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
74
Break points won·Clear edge
12
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
54
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
17
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Harris L.71%
Shelbayh A.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Harris L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+192 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1448
7.8Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1442
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
43
79

Harris L.: played today · 7 matches, 165 games (7d) · Shelbayh A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw