Soon Woo Kwon vs Andrea Guerrieri — Quebec City Q8

Quebec City · CHALLENGER · Q8
Soon Woo Kwon
KOR2
Soon Woo Kwon
#152ATP
1744ELO
1716Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT BANQUE NATIONALE · 1st on
ITA7
Andrea Guerrieri
#189ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWL
Woo Kwon S.
6-3 6-3
Guerrieri A.
Woo Kwon S.
662
Guerrieri A.
330

Soon Woo Kwon defeated Andrea Guerrieri 6-3, 6-3 in the Quebec City qualifying eighth-final. Kwon hit 7 aces and converted 60 percent of his break points, while Guerrieri was unable to capitalize on any of his break point chances. Kwon won the match with 3 service breaks to Guerrieri's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Woo Kwon S.Guerrieri A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
79%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Woo Kwon S.Guerrieri A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
80
Break points won·Dominant
15
40
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
84
Tiebreaks·
85
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Woo Kwon S.77%
Guerrieri A.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Woo Kwon S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Woo Kwon S.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Guerrieri A.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.0+322 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1393
7.5Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Woo Kwon S.Guerrieri A.
Freshness·Slight edge
64
54

Woo Kwon S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw