M. Arce Fernandez vs Ognjen JagrovicM15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Q16

M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 · ITF · Q16
#1721ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
SRB
Ognjen Jagrovic
19 yrs
Last 10
WWLLWWWLWW
Arce Fernandez M.
vs
Jagrovic O.

M. Arce Fernandez faces Ognjen Jagrovic in the M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 q16 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Arce Fernandez M.51%
Jagrovic O.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: M. Arce Fernandez 8 of 10, Ognjen Jagrovic 7 of 10 on clay recently — M. Arce Fernandez the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Ognjen Jagrovic carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Jagrovic O.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
70%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
51%
Service points won·
63%
Return points won·
41%
Break points saved·
71%
Aces / match·
1.8
Double faults / match·
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw