Maxim Mrva vs Nerman FaticPrague Round of 32

Prague · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#309ATP
1500ELO
1447Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#417ATP
1496ELO
1478Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWWL
Mrva M.
2-6 6-2 6-4
Fatic N.
Mrva M.
2662
Fatic N.
6241

Maxim Mrva defeated Nerman Fatic in the Round of 32 of the Prague tournament on clay, winning 2-6, 6-2, 6-4. Mrva and Fatic were even in aces and first-serve win percentage, but Mrva had fewer double faults. Mrva converted 71% of his break points and made five service breaks to Fatic's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
39%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Mrva M.55%
Fatic N.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1447
Surface ELO
5.4+31 Clay Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1500
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1496
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.58 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
55
52

Mrva M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 102 games (7d) · Fatic N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw